1 · Simulate a match — 1,000 runs
Offchain model. Edge is flagged only when sim ≥ 70% and bookie ≤ 55%.
2 · Log a pick — before kickoff
The pick is stored with an onchain receipt (Sui checkpoint via Tatum, or a clearly-labelled mock receipt when no key is set).
3 · Pick journal
Every pick carries its receipt. Sample / mock = demo history, not a live Mainnet memory.
4 · Credibility — who to trust
Recomputed from settled picks. Trust is shrunk toward 50 for small samples, so n=1 can’t score 100.
5 · Walrus Memory
Namespace: recall-picks. In mock mode these texts live locally only — they are not on Walrus Mainnet.
Honest limits: there is no football data on Sui and Tatum has no odds API. The model and bookie odds are offchain; Sui proves the pick existed before kickoff (checkpoint receipt), and Walrus Memory learns from the outcome. Simulation is not a prediction guarantee.